Adam Mancini — ES Levels

2026-10-15 · @AdamMancini4 public posts only

Levels are ES futures (not SPX), extracted from his public X posts. His full plan is in his paid newsletter — entries a post calls newsletter-given are noted in the summaries. Post text is summarized; tap through to read the original. Study tool only — not trade recommendations. Refresh runs about every 2 hours on market days, so reclaim flags can lag the actual reclaim.

SPX ≈ column converts ES levels using SPX is closed, so SPX is estimated from SPY's after-hours move (SPY × 10.03533, anchored 2026-10-15) (45.8 pts, measured 7:02 PM ET) — approximate, not Mancini's levels. Shown for the latest day only.

📅 All days

Levels for 2026-10-15

RoleES levelSPX ≈Status
RECLAIM TRIGGER77607714RECLAIMED @ 6:00 PM
0DTE 7715C ≈ $27.27 (Δ 0.53 · θ $-14.3/d)		source
TARGET77037657HIT 7:00 AMsource
TARGET77267680HIT 7:00 AMsource
TARGET77727726HIT 11:00 AMsource
TARGET77827736HIT 11:15 AMsource
TARGET77837737HIT 11:15 AMsource
TARGET78037757opensource
TARGET78357789opensource
MAGNET77437697source
SUPPORT77427696tested & held (so far)source

Posts — newest first

Thu 03:29 PM ET
Technical perfection in #ES_F today: 7760 reclaim was the long trigger given in the newsletter last night and live here. Targets threefold: 7772 (hit), 7782 (hit), 7803 (hit). Riding runner; 7835 is next for the backtest. Next entry to come in newsletter.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 67 · 💬 12
Thu 01:43 PM ET
Extreme precision today in #ES_F, all about 7760: reclaim there was the long trigger given free here + in newsletter (entry given in paid newsletter). Targets 7772 (hit), 7782 (hit); after hitting 82 it dipped, backtested 7760, and went back up. Only 7803 left today, then 7835 to backtest the breakdown.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 49 · 💬 10
Thu 12:32 PM ET
Levels ultra precise in #ES_F: 7760 had to reclaim to see a rip, and it reclaimed. Targets 7772 (hit), 7783 (hit, dipped); 7803 still out there. Returned to 7760 which is now support; same upsides. Bears control below 7835.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 93 · 💬 12
Thu 11:21 AM ET
ES_F: long trigger was 7760 recovery (entry given here and in newsletter; level discussed since yesterday). Targets: 7772 hit, 7783 just hit, 7803 next from here, then 7835. Bears control below 7835.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 94 · 💬 11
Thu 10:57 AM ET
ES_F: 7760 tagged after yesterday's 100+ point sell; mini-relief bounce day so far. Spent the morning chopping around 7743, trapped it after the open, recovered. Big test now: 7773, 7783, 7803 above from here.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 67 · 💬 12
Thu 10:10 AM ET
ES_F: total chop still around the 7743 magnet, stuck since late yesterday; strong magnet, nice little bear trap below, pinned back to the magnet. 7760 is next; recovery there sees 7773, 7783, 7803+. Same supports as newsletter.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 99 · 💬 21
Thu 08:59 AM ET
Pure chop to start in #ES_F. Yesterday ES sold all day after triggering the Bear Case on the loss of the 7835 Monday/Tuesday shelf of lows; bulls need to backtest then recover that. 7742=support where price has been stuck for hours; 7760 must recover to rally to 7772, 7782, 7803+.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 123 · 💬 18
Thu 07:54 AM ET
#ES_F triggered 'bear case' after losing 7835 (Mon/Tue shelf of lows), sold to 7742 support (overnight chop); plan: 7760 must reclaim to see 7772, 7782, 7803+; bears in control below 7835; if 7742 fails (post writes '42 fails'), dip targets 7726, 7703.
Summary — read the original post · ♥ 51 · 💬 3
ES last 7785.0 as of 7:04 PM ET · refreshed 2026-10-15 19:14

Day Trade Ideas — @satymahajan

☀️ Day Trade Idea (8:40 AM ET) post
Upside 7720C ≈ $7.75 (Δ 0.31 · θ $-22.8/d) · Downside 7680P ≈ $7.37 (Δ -0.30 · θ $-21.9/d) (theoretical 0DTE at post, SPX ~7700.3, VIX 17.5, exp 2026-10-15 — model estimate, not a traded price)
VIX key level: 17.5
  • If we recover the short trigger, look for a move back to PDC.
  • If we lose trendline support, look for the daily gap to fill with a golden gate move matching up with roughly the bottom of gap.
SPY with ATR bands and the idea

Bands = prev close ± 0.5×/1× 14-day ATR on SPY (standard Wilder's, computed here — not his proprietary indicator).

🟢 RECLAIM — 7760 (≈7714 SPX) (flagged 6:00 PM ET)
Entry signal per Mancini's plan. Targets above: 7772 (≈7726 SPX), 7782 (≈7736 SPX), 7783 (≈7737 SPX), 7803 (≈7757 SPX), 7835 (≈7789 SPX) · invalidation below: 7742 (≈7696 SPX) · Study only — not a trade prompt.
0DTE 7715C ≈ $27.27 (Δ 0.53 · θ $-14.3/d) · 7715P ≈ $23.60 (Δ -0.47 · θ $-13.4/d) (theoretical at reclaim, VIX 16.5, exp 2026-10-15 — model estimate, not a traded price)
SPX7715CΔθ/d
reclaim 6:00 PM7717.9$27.270.53$-14.3
low · best entry 9:45 AM7679.0$3.210.17$-17.6
expiry 4:00 PM7744.1$29.061.00$-0.9

'best entry' is hindsight — the cheapest the 0DTE call traded after the signal.

ES trend

Start 7,871.00 → last 7,785.00 · -86.00 (-1.09%)

7760770377267772778277837803783577437742Sun 10/11 06:00PMThu 10/15 07:04PM

Dashed lines = today's levels (blue trigger · green target · yellow magnet · gray support · red line)